Research institute CSIRO says rooftop solar in Australia could rise to nearly 60GW by 2050

first_imgResearch institute CSIRO says rooftop solar in Australia could rise to nearly 60GW by 2050 FacebookTwitterLinkedInEmailPrint分享Renew Economy:Australia’s main scientific research body, the CSIRO, has significantly upgraded its forecasts for small scale rooftop solar in Australia for the next few decades, suggesting that the total capacity on the rooftops of homes and businesses could multiply from its current levels of less than 10 gigawatts to nearly 60GW by 2050.The new scenario modelling – a 50 per cent jump in capacity from its previous estimates – is revealed in a newly published assessment by CSIRO prepared for the Australian Energy Market Operator’s 20-year blueprint for the main grid, known as the Integrated System Plan.AEMO already describes the future of Australia’s main grids as “distributed, democratised, and digital”. The only question is to what extent. And the new forecasts by the CSIRO suggest that it will be a lot.The CSIRO says there are a number of factors playing on its revised forecasts. The first is the effect of the Covid-19 pandemic, which will likely mean near term forecasts are below those assumed last year. But long term growth will resume, more rapidly than previously thought, because of the continuing falls in rooftop solar costs, and the attraction of the technology for homes and businesses.The new 2050 forecasts represent a near 50 per cent jump on the previous assumptions made by the CSIRO last year when it was feeding its modelling into the ISP.“This reflects that, prior to the COVID-19 pandemic, rooftop solar adoption was trending higher than expected and this trend is expected to at least partially reassert itself post-pandemic through a wide range of drivers,” it says.[Giles Parkinson]More: Australia may reach nearly 60GW of small scale solar – new CSIRO modellinglast_img

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